Material Reviewed:
David Harvey, A Brief History of
Neoliberalism, (New York: Oxford University Press,
2005)
In
his seminal account of
the collapse of the 19th century liberal
European order, the rise of fascism and the outbreak of
general war, Karl Polanyi traced the ultimate source of
the “self-destruction of (European) civilization” to the
ravages produced by the institutionalized utopia of a
“self adjusting market”[i].
Anchored in a metaphysical construct (the “invisible
hand”) detached from the anthropological realities of
social life, the self-adjusting market became the
dominant paradigm of market societies that commodified
labor, land and money. Over the course of the century,
the market became “the only organizing power in the
economic sphere” and the dominant institution of
society. Whereas economic activity had forever been “a
function of the social in which it was contained”, it
became a law unto itself, severed from its social
foundations, “subordinating the substance of society
itself to the laws of the market.”
This process of
universal commodification, Polanyi argued, “could not
endure for any length in time without annihilating the
human and natural substance of society”. Indeed, most
European societies ultimately took measures to protect
themselves from the corrosive effects of the self
adjusting market by opting in the late 19th
and early 20th centuries for strong
mercantilist states that pursued narrow national goals
and strove for imperial monopoly at each others’
expense. Mid-century transnational capitalist
cooperation, embodied by pan-European networks of haute
finance whose functional role was to “avert general
wars”, gave way to ruthless national power politics:
despite the high degree of European economic integration
at the turn of the century, the webs of capitalist
interdependence were swept away in the rising
nationalist wave.
The outcome was “a
social transformation of planetary range, topped by wars
of an unprecedented type in which a score of states
crashed (and new empires emerged) out of a sea of
blood”. Fascism, a deadly pathological “solution to the
impasse reached by liberal capitalism… a reform of
market economy achieved at the price of the extirpation
of all democratic institutions”, was the predominant but
not the only “solution” to the impasse of market
societies: Soviet socialism in one country and
Roosevelt’s New Deal were synchronous alternative
pathways out of universal commodification. Both emerged
strengthened from the war.
In the West, social
states with varying levels of protection and state
intervention, reflecting different national pathways and
traditions, were created and/or consolidated around a
new growth regime and a new international institutional
order. At the national level, the “Keynesian welfare
state” appeared to resolve two of the central
contradictions of capitalism: cyclical uncontrolled
slides into depression and unrestrained class warfare.
At the national level, the compromise between capital
and labor, mediated by the state, helped to mute the
competitive pressures of the market by promoting
relative social fairness: throughout the industrialized
West, income and wealth inequalities were significantly
reduced. In Europe, this helped to contain potential
challenges to liberalism from mass based Communist
parties. At the international level, the institutional
architecture created at Bretton Woods created a stable
international regulatory framework for the capitalist
political economy. In David Harvey’s words, “the
restructuring of state forms and of international
relations after the Second World War was designed to
prevent a return of the catastrophic conditions that had
so threatened the capitalist order in the 30’s.”
As the core state in
the post-war capitalist order, the United States was the
driving agent of the restructuring process. It sustained
the international institutions it had helped to create,
and supported the establishment of (liberal)
interventionist welfare states in Europe and
(authoritarian or semi-authoritarian) developmental
states in East Asia. This mixed-economy policy, contrary
to the US’s pre-war liberal credo, was not driven by
altruism but by self interest: the US hegemonic project
during the Cold War required a belt of stable hence
prosperous subordinate states ringing the Soviet Union
and the Peoples’ Republic of China[ii].
This could not be achieved through the markets alone.
The Marshall Plan embodied the US’s interventionist
management of the capitalist world economy. In the US
itself the Rooseveltian welfare state took on a minimal
form but it nonetheless became a major component of the
postwar US state and the American political economy.
Apart from a few isolated followers of the Austrian
school (Friedrich von Hayek, Ludwig von Mises)
Keynesianism was hegemonic economic policy: government
intervention and counter-cyclical policies to stimulate
demand and support the unemployed had become the
orthodoxy, even within the conservative camp. “We are
all Keynesians now”, said Richard Nixon in 1971.
Ironically, that statement was uttered the year the
Bretton-Woods system began to unravel, ushering in the
monetarist counter-revolution of the 80’s and
contemporary neo-liberal hegemony.
The proximate causes of
the breakdown of the Keynesian paradigm are well known.
Facing inflationary pressures due to the war in Vietnam,
declining productivity, intensifying trade competition
from Europe and Japan, and hence rising foreign claims
to redeem dollars with gold, the US unilaterally tore
down the fixed but adjustable exchange rate regime set
up at Bretton Woods. The convertibility of the dollar to
gold, the pillar of the post-war international monetary
system, was ended. John Connolly, Nixon’s Treasury
Secretary, put matters bluntly: “it’s our currency but
it’s your problem”, delicately adding: “foreigners are
out to screw us and it is our job to screw them first”.
Two years later generalized floating exchange rates
reintroduced pre-war international monetary anarchy.
Meanwhile, on the domestic front, prolonged
“stagflation” and mass unemployment challenged
counter-cyclical macro-economic policies. Inflation that
had been building up since the early years of Vietnam
peaked at 13.58% in 1980. In 1979, the Federal Reserve
launched the global monetarist backlash by implementing
highly restrictive monetary policies. Monetarism had a
series of profound domestic and global effects: it
forced drastic industrial restructuring and decisively
shifted the balance of forces between labor and capital.
By favoring rentier capitalism it restored and expanded
the power of the increasingly autonomous financial
sphere.
Globally, as Giovanni
Arrighi points out[iii],
the prolonged US rates rise restored the US’s declining
world hegemony by redirecting capital flows back to the
US and disciplined the periphery into submission (the
Latin American debt crisis of 1982). The neo liberal
reconfiguration that followed was not the work of an
“invisible hand”. Though structural transformations
played an underlying role, notably the decline of the
“rust belt” industries, the neo literal mutation would
not have been possible without coercive state
intervention: In the early 80’s, the leaders of the
“conservative revolution” in the US and UK joined forces
to lock in the transformation by crushing organized
labor. Ronald Reagan suppressed the air controllers’
strike in the US and Margaret Thatcher waged a vicious
and ultimately victorious war against the miners in the
UK[iv].
Neo liberalism was thus a “political project” mobilizing
the repressive powers of the state to “restore the power
of economic elites.”
This narrative goes
some way to explaining the macro mechanisms of the
paradigm shift. But it does not tell us why
neo-liberalism, a contemporary globalized variant of the
“self regulating market” of the 19th century,
subsequently gained near universal hegemony. That is the
central question of David Harvey’s latest,
intellectually stimulating, book. As a doctrine and a
practice, neoliberalism was designed, writes Harvey, to
“liberate corporate and business power (and)
re-establish market freedoms” that had been contained by
the social state, that is to restore “the conditions for
the resumption of active capital accumulation”. The
restoration, theorized by a tightly knit group of
ideologues in the UK and US, and legitimized by a
discourse deeply embedded in the American mind on
individual freedom and autonomy, had four major
components: the financialization of the economy; the
growing mobility of capital; the dominance of the “Wall
Street-IMF-Treasury” complex in the 90’s; and the
“global diffusion of the new monetarist and neoliberal
economic orthodoxy”. These components, writes Harvey,
were fused in the “Washington Consensus of the
mid-1990’s which “defined the US and UK models of
neoliberalism as the answer to global problems”. Those
models called for limitless market freedom. “Shareholder
value” became the war cry of the business class during
the 90’s, culminating in the later part of the decade
with shameless displays of wealth, crony capitalism and
corruption. Today, one of its most obscene expressions
is the unrestrained enthusiasm of the financial markets
whenever mass lay offs occur.
The last frontier of
the free market project was opened with the collapse of
the Soviet Union in 1991. Liberalization, deregulation
and privatization spread worldwide to areas previously
outside of market control. Led by an oligarchy of robber
barons, Russia underwent “shock therapy” which it has
still not fully recovered from. India began its own
deregulation and privatization process, though in a far
more controlled fashion. China, which had initiated an
gradual state-managed policy of agricultural
de-collectivization and selective international opening
in the late seventies, accelerated the liberal turn in
the mid 1980’s. After a parenthesis in the late 80’s,
liberalization was deepened again when Deng toured
southern China in 1992.
As anyone who has
visited China over the past decade knows, the labor
market has been nearly entirely “freed” from regulatory
constraint, leading to Darwinian competition between the
“old” industrial working class in the declining state
sector and the great mass of disenfranchised and
unprotected workers flowing from the countryside into
the cities. Health care and the best parts of the school
system have been privatized. Meanwhile, the dynamic
developmental states of northeast Asia and the emerging
states of Southeast Asia were subjected to intense
western pressure to liberalize their capital accounts
and open them to foreign investors. The outcome was the
great financial crisis of 1997/1998, caused by
overinvestment in short term speculative assets, whose
ripple effects nearly engulfed the global financial
system. That said, the spread of neoliberalism has not
been a uniform process: Harvey is right to point out
that neoliberalization proceeded unevenly, with local
outcomes depending on the “interplay of internal
dynamics and external forces”, and the institutional
configurations of different societies.
The external forces
were the US state, the international institutions
dominated by the US, and the transnational companies
with a vested interest in unfettered global investment,
trade and financial flows. Since the early 80’s,
successive US governments intervened overtly and
covertly to produce outcomes favorable to American
business and, more broadly, transnational companies,
American or not. Given the permanence of US economic
nationalism this may at first sight appear
contradictory. Yet as Susan Strange pointed out in the
late 1980’s, “globalization” did not submerge all
states, merely the weaker states of the international
system: “all the decisions about the regulation of
market operators and intermediaries that used
predominantly to be the prerogative of each national
government are now shared unevenly between a few
governments of the largest and richest countries, of
which the US is by far the most important”. As a result,
transnational firms are less autonomous than many post
national theorists have claimed. They were and remain
"responsible to policy decisions taken by the US
government.”[v]
Global liberalization affirmed the US’s comparative
advantages in the FIRE sector (Finance, Insurance, Real
Estate). Capital account liberalization allowed the US
to reshape national development paths, and to dig deeply
into the savings of the rest of the world (at high rates
of return).
Simply put, the
establishment of a global free capital market was
essential for the economic and financial well being of
the world’s leading debtor. This helps to understand the
continuity of US global liberalization policy since the
mid 80’s. In 1985, Ronald Reagan set out to knock down
barriers to trade, foreign investment and the free
movement of capital between industrialized countries,
especially in Japan. His successor continued this effort
though the Enterprise for the Americas Initiative,
designed to support free markets and the free movement
of capital in the western hemisphere. The policy was globalized under Bill Clinton: "Previous administrations
had pushed for financial liberalization principally in
Japan, but under President Clinton it became a worldwide
effort" directed in particular at the new area of wealth
accumulation in East Asia, "seen as a potential gold
mine for American banks and brokerages". According to
The New York Times, the Clinton White House worked out a
plan, coordinated by the Department of Commerce, that
“identified 10 rising economic powers from the Pacific
to the Atlantic whose economies were to be opened up,
and it called upon all government departments, from the
CIA, to US Ambassadors abroad”[vi].
During the 90’s the
power political objectives of the US State and the
wealth maximization objectives of market actors
coincided to an extraordinary degree. Robert Wade
suggested a few years ago that liberalization and the
"increasing mobility of information, finance and goods
and services frees the American government of
constraints while putting everyone else under tighter
constraints". This is undoubtedly the case. Yet, as
Harvey argues, “the grim reach of US imperial power…by
no means constitutes the whole story” of the global
slide to neoliberalism. The US did not directly impose
liberalization and opening on China, India, or
continental Europe for instance. What it did was set the
global agenda and create a global context favorable to
local forces pursuing their own market objectives. In
most emerging countries the small domestic
constituencies favoring the liberal turn that were
strengthened by internationalization (they are now in
retreat in Latin American and South East Asia). This was
also obviously the case in continental Europe and Japan
where thin but very influential business circles (the
European Business Round Table) were empowered by the
US’s turn to neoliberalism. These constituencies acted
to reshape government agendas as part of a growing
global elite consensus around common objectives. Indeed,
private institutions of global governance became the
locus of transnational elite dialogue and convergence
around the neoliberal agenda (World Economic Forum),
buttressing the global disciplinary function of public
institutions such as the IMF.
The continuity of US
foreign economic and financial policy over the past two
decades does not mean however that there was continuity
in other domains. While Harvey is very persuasive in his
detailed discussion of the complex mix of factors
leading to neoliberal hegemony, he is less so when he
argues more speculatively that neo-conservatism (and
implicitly the US’s imperialist drive since 2000)
emerged as an “answer” to the contradictions of the
neoliberal state in crisis. While neoliberalism entails
forms of social control, surveillance and repression –
of governmentality in the Foucauldian sense – that are
inherently disciplinary, it does not necessarily follow
that neo-conservative authoritarianism is, as Harvey
seems to imply, an outcome of a critical moment in
neo-liberal rule. Underlying this is the assumption that
the US hegemony has been “crumbling” since the 70’s and
that militarism is a convulsive response to that trend.
In fact, US hegemony
which was indeed waning in the 70’s and early eighties
was restored in the late eighties and the nineties.
Under Bill Clinton neoliberalism proceeded without
militarization, through the subtle operation of governmentality within and muscular economic “diplomacy”
abroad. Though it is neoliberal in the sense that it has
done more than any other government to favor the owners
of capital (mostly in the energy and national security
sectors), the sovereign authoritarian state of George
Bush, or what Judith Butler calls the Bush
administration’s “lawless exercise in state
sovereignty”, has little to do with its predecessors in
all other regards. This is not a minor matter: different
forms of exercise of state power under specific
hegemonic configurations produce very different
outcomes. There is no continuity between the silky
discussion on the trading state and interdependence of
the 90’s and the forward march of neo-imperialism since
2000. Indeed, the US’s lawless exercise of power of the
past years has deeply split ruling elites within the US,
but also globally.
Be that as it may, the
outcome of the decades-long reconfiguration of social
forces has been an extraordinary increase in social
inequality. In the US, income and wealth polarization
has reached levels not seen since the twenties, with a
tiny fraction of the population concentrating most of
the country’s income and wealth. According to the
Economic Policy Institute, in 2000 “the share of income
held by the top 1% by income was the largest since the
run-up to the Great Depression. In 1979, the average
income for the top 1% was 33.1 times the income of the
lowest 20% and 10.1 times the middle fifth. By 2000, the
average income of the top 1% was 88.5 times that of the
bottom fifth, an increase of 55.4 points.” In the US and
in continental Europe, average living standards have
either stagnated or regressed. Inequality has also risen
sharply in Asian societies with historic traditions of
relative social equity (Japan, South Korea). Everywhere,
large fractions of the population, the “unqualified”,
have been written off and left to fend for themselves.
Apologists of this brutal process of social selection
have naturalized the transformation, making it appear an
historic necessity. Like all hegemonic narratives,
neoliberal theory has cloaked the real world objectives
of the reconfiguration behind high sounding ideals: “the
genius of neoliberal theory is to provide a benevolent
mask full of wonderful-sounding words like freedom,
liberty, choice and rights, to hide the grim realities
of the restoration or reconstitution of naked class
power.”
The reconstitution of
market societies marked by extreme inequalities is not
sustainable in the long run. Polanyi’s analysis and
warning must be kept in mind. Social backlashes of
various types will emerge, indeed are already apparent:
right-wing populism and religious conservatism, on the
one hand, progressive movements of global social
transformation (the World Social Forum) on the other.
The growing demand for protection from world market
forces is already translating in nationalism (Russia,
for instance) or regionalism (Mercosur) in various parts
of the world. Ultimately, the content and pathway of
change will depend on the balance of forces of the
social agencies at work. For the moment, the
constituencies favoring social and democratic
alternatives to commodification are in retreat in the
West. But they are still sufficiently present to
influence the course of events. The real test will come
in times of crisis. The timing and trigger of
fundamental crisis, at systemic level, is of course hard
if not impossible to predict (likewise mass
mobilizations still elude the grasp of the social
sciences). Nonetheless, some of the conditions may be
crystallizing now. In particular, the US, the main
normative agent in the process of global marketization
over the past decades, appears to be losing control: the
country’s rapidly growing indebtedness and reliance on
foreign capital flows creates global financial
volatility and generates systemic vulnerabilities. If
the trend continues it will severely strain the world
financial system.
The US already consumes
75% of world savings to meet its daily financing needs.
At some point not yet determined, rising US foreign debt
will conflict with the requirements of the US’s main
financiers. The US will then be forced to adjust. Harvey
argues that to free itself from growing external
constraints, the US has a polar choice: hyper-inflation
or deflation, both of which imply a crisis of the US
hegemonic order and hence a fundamental and possibly
violent restructuring of the world system. This may be
too starkly put: Clearly, under its present leadership
the US is heading towards financial disaster (not to
speak of the disaster produced by imperial foreign
policy in the Gulf). Yet, under wiser management, the US
may be able to find a softer middle way out of its
present economic and financial dilemma. That pathway
would however require the US’s acceptance of real
interdependence, that is a downsizing of US imperial
ambitions and a major change in economic policy…
One needn’t agree with
Harvey’s hypothesis, widely shared in Marxist circles,
that neo-conservatism emerged as an authoritarian
solution to the instabilities and contradictions of
neooliberalism, or his assumptions about structural US
decline, to share his intellectual and ethical concern
over the neoliberal destruction of society. His Brief
History is a valuable conceptual and descriptive history
of the great regression of our times. It also a
normative statement about what should be. In denouncing
universal commodification Harvey rightly suggests that
it is urgent that we reinvent and reinvest the meanings
of “democratic governance”, of “political, economic and
cultural equality and justice”. With the renaissance of
the left, neoliberal hegemony has ended in Latin
America. It is being challenged in parts of Asia. What
is needed now is a progressive global agenda in a
difficult but not hopeless reactionary age.
[i]
Karl Polanyi, The Great Transformation,
Beacon Press, Boston, 1973 (1944).
[ii]
See Bruce Cumings, Parralax Visions (Durham, NC:
Duke University Press, 1999).
[iii]
Giovanni Arrighi, “The social and political
economy of global turbulence”, New Left Review,
N° 20, March/April, 2003.
[iv]
For a Foucauldian reading of this critical
turning point see Noelle Burgi, L’Etat
britannique contre les syndicates”, Kimé,
Paris, 1993.
[v]
Susan Strange, “Toward a Theory of Transnational
Empire”, in Ernst_otto Czempiel and James
Rosenau, eds, Global Change and Theoretical
Challenges
[vi]
Nicholas D. Kristof and David Sanger, "How US
Wooed Asia to let the Cash In", New York Times,
16 February 1999.
Philip S. Golub
is an editor of Le Monde Diplomatique.