As for Darfur,
which constitutes the western part of the Sudan, it
is administratively divided into three parts running
from North to South. Darfur is nearly the size of
France, and marked by 153 squalid camps for what
amounts to millions of “internally displaced
persons.” These refugees fled their villages to
escape the Sudanese military and the armed bandits
on horseback known as the Janjaweed. Such roving
marauders were – organized by the government of
President Omar Hassan Al-Bashir in Khartoum to quell
the ongoing rebellion in the region. Hunger, thirst,
disease, filth, threats of rape and violence, and a
stultifying idleness abound in these IDP camps with
their sea of thatched huts, flimsy tents, and mud
streets. The refugees wish only to return to their
villages. But repatriating them, rebuilding their
homes, and compensating the victims for what they
have undergone is an expensive undertaking. Issues
of this sort, coupled with the unwillingness of the
government to disarm the Janjaweed, are at the root
of the controversy concerning implementation of the
Comprehensive Peace Agreement of January 2006 and,
brokered by the African Union, the Darfur Peace
Agreement of May 2006 (http://sudan.net/news/posted/13216.html).
A new bombing
campaign by Khartoum against Darfur in August and
September of 2006 drove tens of thousands more
villagers into the camps and the 10,000 troops
amassed by the regime in Khartoum might attempt to
drive the IDPs over the border or disband the camps
entirely thereby leading to death on a mass scale.
About 7000 troops from the African Union had been
stationed in Darfur to protect them. But they have
been harshly criticized for their incompetence and
inexperience. Even before the 30th of
September 2006, when the mandate for the African
Union troops was set to expire, the requisite funds
for maintaining them had almost run out. On 31
August, the UN Security Council passed a resolution
calling for “re-hatting” some of them, adding a few
thousand civilian police, and mixing them with
roughly 17,000 troops sent by the UN. Under the
auspices of the United Nations, this force would be
used to protect the refugees from the Janjaweed and
the Sudanese military in the future. Nevertheless,
President Al-Bashir was adamant in his refusal
either to extend the mandate of troops from the
African Union or allow the UN the right to intervene
in Sudanese affairs.
Many refugees
living in IDP camps would undoubtedly welcome the
UN. That is also true of certain rebel groups like
the Justice and Equality Movement led by Khalil
Ibrahim, and the
Sudanese Liberation Movement/ Army
faction led by Abdelwahid Mohamed al-Nur, which have
refused to sign the Darfur Peace Agreement of May
2006 thereby initiating conflicts with other
oppositional groups that have signed and further
heightening instability in the region (www.washingtonpost.com.
5 September 2006). Some have even insisted that it
would be best for all concerned if the Southern
region of the Sudan and Darfur were to secede. Given
the wealth of oil and resources in the South and its
natural concern with national sovereignty, however,
the Khartoum government will do everything possible
to prevent the secession of various provinces that
might be sparked by the entry of foreign troops by
the United Nations. In Khartoum no less than in
Iran, Libya, and elsewhere anti-western radicals
argued that the UN was nothing more than a front for
“imperialist powers” intent upon “re-colonizing” the
Sudan. Anti-western rhetoric increased and the bad
press suffered by the Sudan was ever more routinely
attributed to Jewish control over the media. Such
charges were mostly self-serving propaganda. But the
toppling of the Taliban in Afghanistan, the American
occupation of Iraq, and the generally bellicose
policy of the Bush Administration lent credence to
such charges in some quarters.
Censorship and the
assault on civil liberties had become less stringent
in the six months that followed the signing of the
Comprehensive Peace Agreement. With what was
presented as the rising threat from abroad, however,
domestic repression by the regime of President Al-Bashir
intensified. Governmental surveillance tightened,
newspapers were shut down, and street demonstrations
disbanded by the police. As far as “regime change”
is concerned, however, its beneficiaries would most
likely not be the “democratic parties,” which are
run by families and grounded in tribal loyalties,
but Islamic fundamentalists who—in spite of the
splits between moderate and extremist elements
--constitute the only genuinely mass movement in the
Sudan.
What impact the
entry of UN troops might have on a singularly
multi-cultural nation the size of the Sudan is
impossible to predict. But it is possible to imagine
that a national resistance will take shape and that
IDPs living in the camps might well find themselves
caught in the middle of a maelstrom far worse than
what has gripped Iraq. Eighty tribes in the Sudan
have their own militias, previous peace agreements
are in doubt, Islamic fundamentalists are training
in the Jebel Marra Mountains, and the country seems
set to implode.
* * *
Such were the
thoughts that went through my mind as I and thirteen
other mostly American academics, representing
Conscience International, deplaned in Khartoum on 3
September 2006. We were there to participate in a
two-day conference that would be attended by a host
of leading Sudanese politicians and academics. The
humanitarian activist and leader of our delegation,
Dr. Jim Jennings, had performed a Herculean task in
securing our visas and, in cooperation with our
hosts, organizing what would become a remarkably
candid exchange of views. Aside from an excursion to
the pyramids of the long vanished Kush civilization,
the pharmaceutical factory mistakenly bombed under
the orders of President Bill Clinton, and then an
extraordinary Sufi religious ritual, a visit to the
Darfurian IDP camp of Abu Shouck near El Fasher was
also organized at the last minute. Our group was
treated with great respect and hospitality by the
Council for International People’s Friendship and
its influential Secretary General, Ahmed Abd Al-Rahman
Mohammed, and Hasim El-Tinay of the Institute for
Internal Peace & Dialogue.
An atmosphere of
crisis hung over Khartoum. We learned quickly about
the Sudanese dislike for the condescension and
provincialism exhibited by American diplomats --
something I had heard everywhere in my travels
through the Middle East – and we noted how chilly
the interaction was that took place between these
politicians and diplomats from two very different
worlds. It was clearly because we were not
professional politicians or diplomatic
representatives of the United States, but
cosmopolitan academics engaged in citizen diplomacy
that we were able to engage the Sudanese in so frank
a manner. As for the conference, which was
videotaped, various panels dealt with possible ways
for restructuring the Sudanese educational system
and the opportunities for investment. My panel,
however, dealt explicitly with the crisis in Darfur.
The chairperson was the former Sudanese Ambassador
to the United States, Charles Manyang. On my left in
a smart business suit was the governmental minister,
Dr. El-Tijani Mustafa, who defended official
policies and denied the organized employment of the
Janjaweed in Darfur while on my right, dressed in
beautiful white robes and a white turban was Dr.
Abdelrahman Dosa who subjected official policy to a
sober critique. He explained how the Janjaweed were
being used by Khartoum both for murderous purposes
and to pursue a civil war on the cheap against
citizens and rebels in Darfur as well as in Southern
Sudan.
My presentation of
6 September 2006 sought to explore some ways of
defusing the international crisis and overcoming the
apparent hardening of positions in the Sudan no less
than in the West. I was struck by how seriously the
audience took what I said and I soon learned the
reason why. For all the public rhetoric, I was later
told again and again, Khartoum was looking for an
exit – “with honor” -- from the crisis its leaders
had so unconscionably created. I made a number of
suggestions in my talk. The most important concerned
the need to rethink the question of military
deployment and Dr. Nasir Elseed of the Islamic
Socialist Party as well as Aldondoni Deng, of the
National Congress Party, greeted it with enthusiasm.
Sheik Ahmed Abd AL-Rahman told me on the 7th
of September that he would deliver my working paper
along with his own comments to the two Sudanese
Vice-Presidents and that it would then be “discussed
further.”
Indications that
Khartoum was becoming more flexible on extending the
mandate of African troops were first made in public
on 11 September 2006 and adding 4,000 more troops
was deemed acceptable. The mandate of these troops
was then extended to December 30th 2006
with the possibility for a further extension to 1
April 2007. On the 14th of September, the
Sudanese State Minister for Foreign Affairs, Al-Samani
Al-Wasila, in Addis Ababa called for a “partnership”
among the African Union, the Sudan, and the
International community rather than enforced
resolutions (http://sudan.net/news/posted/13227.html).
The New York Times subsequently reported on
the 21th September 2006 that the Sudanese
government would allow for “logistical” support from
the United Nations to help the African Union. As
funding was acquired from the Arab League, and the
European Union, willingness to accept “logistical
support” turned into the willingness to accept
“military advisors” from the United Nations.
On 6th October 2006, finally, a spokesman
for UN Secretary General Kofi Annan stated that he
had received a letter from President al-Bashir in
which he formally accepted the proposal to provide
UN military support to the African Union Mission in
the Sudan. Finally, as reported on the 25th
October by the South Africa News, President
Bashir stated that “We have no objection to the
African Union increasing its troops, strengthening
its mandate, or even receiving logistical support
from the European Union, the United Nations, or the
Arab League for that matter, but this must, of
course, be done in consultation with the government
of national unity.”
With revisions, and
naturally without attribution, this position taken
by the president reflected the most important
recommendation made in my presentation. Maybe it was
a coincidence since there are often many voices
urging the same policy. As the proverb says:
“Success has many fathers; failure is an orphan.”
Conscience International was, however, clearly in
the right place at the right time and it seems that
citizen diplomacy driven by good will always offers
the prospect of a better outcome than imperial
hubris. The new position regarding a “partnership,”
in any event was a prudent move by a Sudanese regime
known for its stubbornness. But the new course is
not set in stone. Making further progress will
depend upon whether the United Nations, the United
States, and western opinion-makers make the
commitment to engage not to act hastily and
cooperate with the Sudan – peacefully – in an
attempt to resolve one of the most terrible crises
of our time.
*
*
*
Positions had
seemingly grown intractable when our conference
began. It was as if – on a number of crucial issues
-- international organizations intent upon
preventing mass murder were facing off against an
intractable authoritarian government concerned with
preserving the sovereignty of the Sudan. If
supporters of UN intervention seemed blind to
constraints, the political issue with respect to
dealing with the Sudanese was not whether their
suspicions regarding the imperialist ambitions of
the UN were legitimate, but whether they believed
them to be legitimate. Because it has often been a
tool of western “great power” interests, and also
because vetoes on so many resolutions have been made
by the United States on behalf of Israel, the
political intentions of the United Nations are still
generally greeted with suspicion in much of the
previously colonized world.
Suspicions of this sort made it important to
emphasize that the United Nations is not
identifiable merely with its Security Council, which
is undemocratically constituted and weighted in
favor of the more powerful western states, or its
General Assembly that is powerless other than with
respect to articulating world opinion on any given
matter. The United Nations also oversees the World
Health Organization and UNESCO along with various
disaster relief agencies that have provided enormous
help to the most unfortunate peoples including the
Palestinians. The United Nations Charter, I noted,
also recognizes the sovereignty of its member states
and it explicitly endorses the notion of national
self-determination. Especially over the last few
years, given its opposition to the American invasion
of Iraq and the Israeli war on Lebanon, it is
difficult to argue that the UN is simply a stand-in
for the United States or that it is driven
principally by imperialist designs on the Sudan.
But, for all that,
more sensitivity is necessary in dealing with the
lingering memories of imperialism with regard to
Africa in general and the Sudan in particular. That
the Sudanese political leaders should have
preoccupied themselves with defending the
sovereignty of their country is only natural. Having
said that, however, something else follows. Insofar
as national self-determination is a universal right,
I noted those who lay claim to it must recognize
that they are part of the international community.
Thus, I insisted that it would prove both
impractical for the Sudan simply to turn inward.
An
alternative was required to the choice between
deploying either UN or Sudanese troops in Dafur.
This called for, using philosophical terminology,
mediating between abstract universal and provincial
national concerns. Or, to put it another way, not
two, but three interests needed to be acknowledged.
There was the interest in the human rights of
Southern dissidents and especially the IDPs in
Darfur, which was the express concern of the UN and
various disaster relief agencies, the interest of
the Sudanese government in Khartoum, and – just as
importantly – the regional interest represented by
the African Union. Each of these interests, in my
view, needed to be taken into account in sketching
new ways of dealing with four issues pertinent to
preventing further bloodshed in the Sudan and
increasing bloodshed in Darfur. My aim, therefore,
was not to “resolve the conflict,” or provide
definitive solutions to the problems facing the
Sudan, Darfur, and the region. It was instead to
offer a set of talking points that might provoke the
formulation of more flexible policies beyond mere
troop deployment that might bring the opposing
parties closer together. My arguments and proposals
concerning the controversy over the deployment of
troops, the discovery of information, the activities
of relief agencies, and stopping the sale of
military hardware can be summarized as follows:
1) The United
Nations was seeking to integrate, or better “re-hat”
7,700 African Union forces into a UN force of 22,000
that would guarantee the safety of those living in
the 153 IDP camps that dot the landscape of Dafur.
The Sudanese government adamantly rejected that idea
and, instead, wished to employ 10,000 of its own
troops to provide security. My suggestions for
moving beyond the impasse called for extending the
mandate and increasing the authority of the African
Union. It proposed a change of focus that would rest
upon integrating Sudanese police or militia with
military personnel from the United Nations, and
“re-hatting” them, under the command structure of
the African Union. A check would thereby be provided
on any “imperialist” designs by the United Nations,
no less than the more ominous ambitions of the
regime in Khartoum, while privileging the
potentially wide-ranging regional impact of the
crisis. Such a plan would balance the concerns of
the Sudanese with national sovereignty, the needs of
“internally displaced persons,” and the broader
interests of the region. It was never meant to offer
any guarantee of “success” or the certainty that the
ongoing humanitarian disaster would be brought to an
end. It merely provided what, in my opinion,
amounted to the best bet – and, what should not be
underestimated, an African solution to an African
problem.
2). Not only the United Nations, but also various
relief agencies fear that mass murder is taking
place in Darfur – though only the United States has
officially used the term in the present context.
These organizations believe that 400-500, 000 people
have perished in the recent conflicts while official
Sudanese studies estimate somewhere between
60,000-160,000. There is something profoundly
disgusting about using numbers in this manner. But
whose are correct is a matter of some importance.
There is only one way of arriving at an answer.
Continue to allow independent investigators, who are
guaranteed security by the Sudanese government, into
Darfur. In fact, I suggested expanding the number of
researchers – and perhaps creating a set of
international teams -- independent of any
organization or state with a direct stake in the
crisis. The more studies that emerge the more the
likelihood of finding some consensual answers to
pressing questions concerning the magnitude of
events in Darfur as well as their impact on nations
like Kenya, Ethiopia, Uganda and the Central African
Republic that harbor more than 350,000 Sudanese
refugees
http://sudan.net/news/posted/13226.html).
Information on the terrible problems plaguing Darfur
will – quite obviously -- have a profound impact in
determining the solutions to them and rendering a
judgment on the question of “genocide.”
3) Khartoum is
being blamed for the mass murder looming over Darfur
not merely due to the murderous activities of the
Janjaweed, but also because humanitarian relief
agencies insist that their efforts are being
obstructed. They point to the use of red tape in
delaying visas, the lack of security cooperation
provided by law enforcement agencies, and general
forms of bureaucratic harassment. The Sudanese have
pleaded concerns over “security” to justify the
obstacles placed in the path of representatives from
international organizations, humanitarian relief
agencies, and even foreign politicians seeking to
enter the country. My proposal was that the African
Union in cooperation with Sudanese representatives
should be empowered to determine which humanitarian
agencies should be allowed entry.
4) But that suggestion
elided an issue that could not be raised publicly,
namely, fear by Sudanese military leaders and
politicians that they would be arrested on charges
of having committed war crimes. That fear was only
strengthened by a joint statement of European Union
foreign ministers that officials of the Sudanese
government and military would be “held accountable”
for war crimes (http://sudan.net/news/posted/13247.html)
Various possibilities for dealing with them can be
discussed after peace is achieved. But for the time
being, in my view, improving conditions for the IDPS
in Darfur is more important than capturing and
trying war criminals. Thus, my proposal – and I
recognize its distasteful character – was that
neither UN personnel nor humanitarian relief workers
associated with any international agency should
pursue arrest warrants on Sudanese nationals even
should the appropriate indictments have been
provided by the International Criminal Court.
5)
More nations and peoples than the Sudanese and the
IDPS have a stake in the crisis that has been
generated in Darfur. It also has implications for
the stability of nine governments whose innumerable
tribes cut across national boundaries. Fighting is
already taking place between different tribes,
cattle growers and farmers, and private militias
along the various borders separating the Sudan from
other countries. The United Nations has placed an
arms embargo of unspecified length on the Sudan. The
Sudanese leadership has, meanwhile, stated its
objection to such a ban. As things now stand the
supply of arms continues to grow and, along with it,
arms demand. It is imperative to highlight this
situation and throw the glare of public opinion upon
it.
Here, again, the African Union should take the lead.
It might start by sponsoring regional conferences
between political representatives as well as civic
leaders and respected intellectuals from different
nations in the region. Other conferences and public
events, organized by international peace
organizations, could publicize the problems caused
by the largest sellers of military goods like China,
France, Russia, and the United States. Even
officially the United States could actually play a
positive role – and improve its moral standing in
the international community – by implementing its
own law against arms brokering rather than waiting
until other nations do likewise. Articulating
policies whereby the states of the region might,
following Max Weber, gain a monopoly over the
legitimate means of coercion would be a first step
toward disarming the various tribal militias and
creating the forms of basic “security” that serve as
the precondition for economic development. The more
immediate possibility, however, is to build the
climate against violence through the use of mass
media, demonstrations, concerts, conferences, and
the like.
This suggestion, admittedly, has a certain utopian
ring to it. Participation by the most culpable
states would be difficult to secure if only because
taking part would be tantamount to admitting their
culpability in supplying or demanding arms. There is
also the vexing question regarding whom to invite
and whether to include representatives from rebel
groups. Then, too, conferences, concerts, and even
the use of mass media mostly have only an indirect
effect on policy. Nevertheless, there is something
profoundly shortsighted about refusing to think at
all about the possibilities for a lasting peace in
the region because horrible forms of conflict have
continued for so long.
*
* *
“Global Darfur
Day” took place on 17 September 2006. Tens of
thousands worldwide marched against the prospect of
further loss of life in the Sudan. It is easy to be
cynical. Little concern had previously been expended
by the West over the roughly 4 million who had died
over the last few years in the Congo, the 1.6
million dead and displaced in Uganda, or the 1 in 3
Malawians living below subsistence. These events
overshadow what has transpired in Darfur. Having
allowed the perpetration of certain humanitarian
injustices in prior instances, of course, does not
invalidate the attempt to prevent yet another
disaster. World opinion did ultimately help pressure
Khartoum into seeking a compromise. But this does
not justify what so many of the protesters proposed
as a policy. There is, indeed, something
disheartening about the way in which Darfur was
turned into a designer crisis, a media event,
sentimentally over-simplified by celebrities and
decent people trying to do the right thing like
George Clooney, Mia Farrow and Elie Wiesel.
Mr. Clooney warned that
Darfur is the new millennium’s first genocide; Ms.
Farrow claimed that she saw “the need for help in
the refugees’ eyes;” and Elie Wiesel made the Sudan
yet another object of his insufferably
self-righteous and selective moralizing. None of
them had anything concrete to suggest other than
that sanctions should be introduced or,
alternatively, that UN troops should be deployed
against the Sudan. Nothing much was said about
finding a compromise or forging a new approach to
the crisis. Already the influential neo-conservative
foreign policy analyst, Robert Kagan, has demanded
an invasion of Sudan by the United States while
American State Department officials have suggested
the need for an oil embargo and that France might be
prevailed upon to attack Sudanese military air
transports. Our celebrities and mainstream liberal
activists could thus be left in a terribly difficult
situation. Should the UN have proved unable to
impose sanctions or intervene, because of a veto
introduced by China or Russia in the Security
Council, the choice for Mr. Clooney and his friends
would be between “doing nothing” – and perhaps
watching the existing peace agreements collapse (http://sudan.net/news/posted/13228.html)
or supporting the United States in undertaking yet
another high-handed gesture if not, more ominously,
another ill-advised military adventure with
imperialist overtones.
The United States
has already placed economic sanctions on nearly
fifty nations – roughly a third of the states in the
world community – and other powerful nations,
especially China, have stepped into the breech.
China is now creating a news media devoted solely to
economic issues, which will broadcast in Arabic 24
hours a day and 7 days a week, and I was told in
Khartoum that a meeting is being planned between
twenty-two Arab and African nations and China to
discuss new venues for trade. Little thought has
been given to the humanitarian impact sanctions
would have on the Sudan, which ranks among the top
20 least trade dependent states and 139th
on the United Nations’ Human Misery Index, let alone
the logistics and the realizable aims of 22,000 UN
troops – alien to the terrain and the culture of
Darfur – patrolling an area of 290,00 square
kilometers. It is also a western conceit to believe
that UN troops will somehow prove more competent
than those of the African Union.
Because the United
Nations has been brought into play does not give
intervention some kind of holy imprimatur. Such a
substitution would surely insult African
sensibilities. National resistance might well take
place and, it is worth noting that, upon visiting
Darfur various representatives from
previously warring
tribes – including those from the politically
powerful Zagawa and Rizgat tribes – candidly told
our group that their people would engage in guerilla
actions against any “invading” force. Tens of
thousands of new refugees might flee their villages
bloating further the old and creating scores of new
camps. Even were that not to occur, however, the
fighting in Sudan could touch off a regional crisis
of potentially horrifying proportions.
A very different
course of action remains possible. In concert with
highlighting the role of the African Union, and
pressuring remaining recalcitrant rebel groups to
sign the Darfur Peace Agreement, an intelligent
diplomatic policy – that might counter the regional
advances of China-- would reject the use of economic
sanctions and immediately lift those that exist.
Such a policy would emphasize the need for
micro-investment to increase the number of those
with a stake in Sudanese society and would link
macro-investment to the building of an
infrastructure in the country.
It would call for new funding for the nearly broke
increasing the funding of the nearly broke United
Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR), which
has repatriated over 12,000 IDPs, expand educational
and cultural exchanges with the Sudan, and foster
greater cooperation with the African Union.
Such a policy is,
of course, not quite as dramatic as what yet another
coalition of neo-conservative and liberal hawks has
proposed for the Sudan. No less than in Afghanistan
and Iraq, though this time in a nation 30 times the
size of Sierra Leone and 100 times the size of
Rwanda, they have called for foreign intervention in
order to produce “regime change” under conditions
that remain unexamined and in the face of
constraints that are not taken into account. It
doesn’t matter whether their intentions are good.
Should their more intemperate proposals be embraced
by the United Nations, or the United States, the
wretched of the earth will wind up – again --
bearing the consequences of military action by
powerful “allies” who will surely forget about them
once the costs rise or, perhaps even worse, the next
crisis comes along.